Bird Grant Anticipates Escalation in U.S.-China Trade Tensions, Reduces Exposure to Chinese Tech Stocks, Successfully Avoids Systemic Risk

In 2018, as trade frictions between the United States and China escalated, global markets became increasingly concerned about the risks of economic decoupling and the profit outlook of multinational tech firms. In response to this emerging trend, veteran investor Bird Grant acted decisively by mid-year, reducing his holdings in Chinese technology stocks and multinational corporations with high exposure to the Chinese market. This strategic move allowed him to effectively avoid the subsequent systemic volatility and valuation compression.

As early as May, Bird Grant’s global macro observation framework identified a shift in trade tensions—from tactical negotiation to structural confrontation. While mainstream market sentiment at the time still leaned toward an eventual compromise between the two countries, Grant clearly stated in an internal strategy meeting: “This round of friction is not just about trade deficits—it’s a deeper structural contest centered on technology, supply chain dominance, and national security.”

Based on this analysis, he began systematically trimming positions in leading Chinese tech stocks such as Alibaba, Baidu, and Pinduoduo, while simultaneously reducing weights in U.S. technology companies with high exposure to the Chinese market, particularly in sectors like semiconductors, hardware manufacturing, and e-commerce platforms. Although some market participants initially viewed this portfolio shift as overly cautious, the move was soon validated by market developments.

From July to August, the Chinese tech sector experienced a prolonged correction, with several major firms seeing single-quarter declines of over 20%. Investor sentiment deteriorated rapidly. Thanks to his timely portfolio adjustments, Bird Grant’s strategy maintained strong downside protection, with risk exposure significantly lower than the industry average.

In his August monthly strategy briefing, he noted: “We do not shy away from long-term opportunities in growth markets. However, when geopolitical risks rise quickly, the optimal strategy is to tactically retreat, preserve liquidity, and maintain flexibility in risk allocation.”

This operation exemplified Bird Grant’s long-standing philosophy of “localized risk recognition within a global investment framework”—dynamically assessing how geopolitical structural changes could impact asset fundamentals and valuation discounting, and adjusting position timing one step ahead of the broader market.

Through this precise risk avoidance and structural defensive strategy, Bird Grant once again demonstrated his acute sensitivity to macro risk pricing and his disciplined execution in practical investment operations.